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Much is made of Israel's political power in the west and particularly in the
US. There have been private complaints about it for decades. Only recently
has it become possible to speak about it in public. Still the iron fist
inside the chainmail glove is only for private discussion.
Back in 1990 when Israel was demanding the first war against Iraq it
was threatening to use nuclear weapons against Iraq. It only takes a
minimal understanding of military power to see it was far beyond Israel's
conventional military capability.
This is a fact.
It took the US alliance roughly 2000 sorties per day for 44 days to soften
up Iraq sufficient before a half million ground troops [check numbers]
started the ground attack.
Without going into the broad outlines of the logistic aspects of such an
operation it should be clear Israel could not mount such an operation. But
there are always people who can imagine it is possible.
- The romantic view of Israel is that Zionism can overcome all
odds -- Exodus II with an even better soundtrack.
- The biblical view of Israel is that god will intervene on the side of
the Jews -- Pharaoh II so to speak.
- The gambler's view of Israel is that it never lost a war so it is
unlikely to lose this one -- the Waterloo view.
The realist view is that a full scale 44 day military mobilization alone
with no military actions whatsoever would bankrupt Israel. It is also the
realist view that Israelis knew all the logistics problems with even
preparing for the bombing side of such an operation.
Two logistics facts show it all. The allies flew over 3600 sorties per day
for 44 days totalling over 100,000. There were over 850,000 troops in the
Middle East directly involved in military operations not counting the
military and civilians supporting military operations.
It is therefore the realist view that the Israel threat was not a
ridiculous, impossible threat to use conventional weapons. Rather it was a
clear threat to use nuclear weapons.
A threat to use conventional weapons would not and could not have been taken
seriously by the US. Yet the US took the Israeli threat seriously. Therefore
it was a nuclear threat.
Prior to the contrived second Iraq war, this time for the conquest of Iraq,
Israel was demanding (What is Israel to demand anything?) this second
war it was making the same threats to deal with Iraq on its own. Every
Israeli politician in and out of office who could get a reporter to show up
was making this threat for publication. The US took this threat seriously
too.
In a repeat of the two Iraq wars Israel is making the same threats against
Iran. Every problem with a war on Iran is three times greater due to
population alone. But Israel is only talking about destroying Iran's one
nuclear power reactor and facilities related to uranium processing. What is
Israel's alternative to other countries make war on its behalf? Israel
threatens to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities all by itself. This threat is
being taken seriously.
Iran instead of Iraq changes very little in the difficulty and duration of
the effort. Israel must do all of the following.
- It must destroy all air defenses on the flight paths to those facilities
so it is possible to actually reach the targets. This means all radars,
missile batteries and air fields. In practice this could mean all air
defense installations.
- It must destroy the targets themselves most of which are underground and
require multiple strikes with "bunker buster" bombs to have a hope of
succeeding. Succeeding bombs will have to go into the hole made by the first
bomb at least three times and likely more.
- It must destroy Iran's capability to counterattack Israel. This means
all long range missles including those in underground bunkers and the
facilities which manufacture them.
- It must impose a peace which prevents Iran from from repairing these
facilities and starting over with a clear intention of developing nuclear
weapons and missiles to strike Israel.
Israel has no long bombers. It has only long range fighters which can be
configured to attack ground targets. For all practical purposes Israel might
be able to fly 200 sorties on the first day of operation. The number per day
will rapidly decrease after that for a variety of reasons. The number per
day it can sustain long term is unknown.
A failure in any one of the four required objectives is a failure of the
entire operation. Only nuclear weapons have a chance of achieving all four
objectives but even they are uncertain against underground facilities
designed to withstand a modest nuclear attack. Therefore more than one low
yield nuclear weapon is required per target or one high yield weapon per
target is required.
This means using hydrogen bombs.
A hydrogen bomb can accomplish the first three objectives and goes a very
long way to the fourth objective with a threat to do it again. For Israel to
make a credible threat rather than a laughable threat it can only be making
a nuclear threat. The west is taking Israel's threat seriously. Therefore it
is not publicly but privately spoken that Israel is making a nuclear threat.
Would Israel actually go so far as to nuke Iran? Izziehuggers say no. Lovers
of Israel cherish their blinders and work hard to keep them functioning.
Here are some facts about Zionism and Israel stripped of the inspiring
Exodus soundtrack.
Israel is based on ideological and religious fanaticism which is backed by
radical Judaism. Islamic radicals have nothing on Jewish radicals. The Jews
were the first to bring modern terror tactics to the Mideast. They started in
Palestine in the 1920s with terrorist bombings and assassinations and
graduated to kidnapping people and publicly executing them to the cheers of
their fellow Zionists.
The British correctly labeled the Zionist militias as terror organizations
and their members as terrorists even after their members became the heads of
the Israeli government in 1948. Britain did not recognize Israel until 1954
and then only as a quid pro quo for making war on Egypt in 1956. Israelis
have a love affair with their terrorists. A lack of basic humanity
translates into votes in Israel.
Recall the Zionists collaborated with the Nazis from the beginning. Zionist
bankers in Berlin financed the election campaigns of the Nazis. Zionist
leaders made a deal with the Nazis to finance the emigration of Jewish
Germans to Palestine. Even as late as 1945 they negotiated with Adolf
Eichmann to trade trucks for Jews in Hungary.
Why? The Nazis were racists who considered themselves the Herrnvolk, the
master race. So too did the Zionists consider themselves the master race.
This is a pattern which continues to this day. Israel was an ally of South
Africa when the world was embargoing it as racist for its premise of white
superiority.
Just a few years ago when India was ruled by a party premised upon the
racial superiority of the Hindus Israel made its greatest inroads in
military sales. It went as far as India giving Israel the right to land,
refuel and rearm in India after attacking Iran. It is not known for certain
that this deal has been rescinded.
Is there a problem with believers in their own superiority working together?
The Japanese believed in their superiority and still allied with the Nazis
for WWII. Clearly Jews had no problem dealing with the Nazis nor with racist
white South Africans nor with racist Hindus.
I observe and report. I do not explain. Many true things cannot be explained
logically. Facts remain facts explained or not.
If you believe the ideological, religious fanatics in Iran would nuke Israel
then you must also believe the ideological religious fanatics in Israel
would do the same.
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